Delusion Score Calculator
Pick a goal and move the sliders. The calculator compares how sure you are with your progress, effort, time and feedback, then shows the gap.
How the calculator works
- Evidence combines progress (40%), weekly effort (25%), outside feedback (20%) and time invested (15%).
- Effort and time are scaled by how hard the goal is.
- Your score is the gap between confidence and evidence, adjusted for difficulty.
Frequently asked questions
What is a good delusion score?
Somewhere between 20 and 40 suggests healthy optimism: you believe a bit more than the evidence shows, which helps you keep going.
Is a high score bad?
It means your confidence is ahead of your evidence. That is a prompt to build a plan, not to give up.
How can I lower my score?
Raise the evidence. Add hours, ask someone experienced for blunt feedback, and track measurable progress each week.
Read the research
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